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07/18/2010

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Terence Bell

Internationally respected economist Nouriel Roubini, from New York State University’s Bern School of Business, has recently been lecturing on why the Chinese yuan must be allowed to further appreciate. Mr. Roubini has pointed out that a rise in value of the yuan against the dollar is not only best for the international economy, but in the best interest of China’s domestic economy. Just as we noted in our report on Minor Metals & Exchange Rates, greater appreciation would not only allow China’s central bank - the People’s Bank - to better manage inflation, but also allow it to have greater control over monetary policy in order to avoid asset and credit bubbles.

For coverage of Mr. Roubini’s recent lecture, please see:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704029304575525551638060796.html

Terence Bell

A great article by Yiping Huang, Professor of Economics at the China Center for Economic Research, Peking University, suggests that recent interest rate hikes the PBOC are indicative of the government's awareness and concern over inflation. Consequently, and as the SM Report articles discusses, further appreciation should be expected.

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2010/10/what-does-pbocs-latest-rate-hike-tell-us.html

Terence Bell

5-10% appreciation by June 2011 is looking very realistic at this point, as inflation continues to cause headaches at the PBOC. As Reuters reports: Yuan ends 2010 with a flourish, up 3.6 percent on year

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6BU05620101231?loomia_ow=t0:s0:a49:g43:r3:c0.050000:b40652000:z0

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